Decrease in Labor Force in Ukraine Since the Beginning of the War

by Roman Cheplyk
Thursday, June 6, 2024
2 MIN
Decrease in Labor Force in Ukraine Since the Beginning of the War

The labor force in Ukraine has seen a significant decline since the start of the war, with a reduction of 2.1 million people, or approximately 12%, bringing the total labor force down to 15.2 million

This information is detailed in a joint report on economic policy priorities prepared by the Ministry of Economy and the Ministry of Finance.

Key Findings from the Report:

  1. Inactive Workforce:

    • About half of the labor force in Ukraine is currently inactive, meaning they are not working and not seeking employment.
    • Nearly three-quarters of employers in the country report a shortage of personnel.
  2. Impact of Military Actions and Population Reduction:

    • The decrease in the labor force is attributed to ongoing military actions and a reduction in the population.
    • The rapid aging and overall reduction of the population, which were pre-war issues, have further complicated the situation.
  3. Projections for the Future:

    • It is projected that returning refugees will increase the labor force to between 16.0 and 16.4 million people by 2026.
    • Despite this increase, the projected labor force will still be 0.9 to 1.3 million less than the pre-war peak of 17.3 million people in 2021.
  4. Need for Labor Force Attraction and Reforms:

    • The report underscores the need to attract more labor force, stimulate the return of refugees, and increase labor force participation, especially among women, to support economic recovery.
    • Ukraine is committed to implementing necessary reforms to address these issues but also requires assistance in providing social services and employment opportunities to attract more workers.

Additional Insights:

  • According to an April study by the European Business Association in partnership with labor market analytics expert Tetyana Pashkina, nearly 74% of employers in Ukraine are experiencing a shortage of personnel.

The findings highlight the urgent need for strategic measures to bolster the labor force and support the country's economic recovery amidst ongoing challenges.

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