...

Export Strategy 2030: Ukraine Targets US $77 Billion in Sales and a 33 % GDP Share

by Roman Cheplyk
Thursday, May 29, 2025
2 MIN
Export Strategy 2030: Ukraine Targets US $77 Billion in Sales and a 33 % GDP Share

Ministry of Economy pivots from raw materials to value-added production under the “Made in Ukraine” banner

1. Policy Priorities

  • Value Addition: Shift export mix toward processed goods and advanced services.

  • Made in Ukraine: Promote national branding and higher local content.

  • Modern Support Tools: Revamp export-credit and market-entry instruments.

  • State–Business Partnership: Strengthen institutional dialogue and trade representation abroad.


2. Quantitative Targets (by 2030)

Indicator 2024 Baseline 2030 Goal
Exports of goods & services US $51 bn US $77 bn
Exports as % of GDP 25 % 33 %
Raw material share 65 %* ≤ 59 %

*Estimate based on current trade structure.


3. Implementation Pillars

  1. Institutional Capacity

    • Upgrade Export Credit Agency (ECA)

    • Establish Export Development Fund

    • Expand trade and economic missions

  2. Business Environment

    • One-stop online portal for permits and logistics data

    • Simplified customs and conformity procedures aligned with EU norms

  3. Production Growth

    • Targeted incentives for processing industries

    • Co-financing schemes for re-tooling and technology upgrades


4. New and Enhanced Instruments

  • Government financing window for export contracts

  • Risk-sharing facilities for SMEs entering new markets

  • Advisory and training programmes via the Office for Entrepreneurship and Export Development


5. Next Steps

  • Draft Release: Full strategy and action plan to be posted for public consultation on the Ministry’s website.

  • Stakeholder Feedback: Business associations and sector groups invited to submit comments.

  • Adoption Timeline: Final document expected later this year, incorporating post-war reconstruction needs and EU-accession standards.


Context: Over the past decade Ukraine’s export share of GDP fell from 49 % (2014) to 25 % (2023). The new framework seeks to reverse that trend while reducing dependence on unprocessed commodities.

You will be interested