Key numbers (1–9 June 2025 vs. same period 2024)
| Border corridor | Volume (kt) | Δ YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Poland | 36.3 | ≈ 0 % |
| Moldova | 12.2 | –26.4 % |
| Romania | 16.2 | ▲ 18 % |
| Slovakia | 3.6 | ▲ 21 % |
| Hungary | 8.4 | ▲ 18 % |
| Total | 76.7 | –13.1 % |
Commodity mix
-
Sunflower oil – 9.5 kt
-
Poultry meat – 4.7 kt
Freight-rate snapshot
Domestic dump-truck lanes
-
Central UA → Danube ports: USD 31-40/t (▼ 2-3 USD)
-
Central UA → Odesa ports: USD 20-24/t (▼ 2-3 USD)
Export dump-truck lanes
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Ternopil → Central/Northern Italy: EUR 100-125/t
-
Ternopil → Central Bulgaria: EUR 70-100/t
-
Cherkasy → Southern Romania: EUR 100-110/t
Export taut-liner (tilt) lanes
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Ternopil → Central/Northern Italy: EUR 80-113/t (rates eased across most EU lanes)
-
Ternopil → Central Bulgaria: EUR 55-70/t
-
Cherkasy → Southern Romania: EUR 61-78/t
Market takeaways
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The Moldovan route is the main drag on aggregate volumes; truck queue times have lengthened after Moldovan customs tightened phytosanitary checks.
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Polish throughput is flat, suggesting the spring protest impact has stabilised.
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Higher flows to Romania, Slovakia and Hungary reflect traders’ efforts to rebalance traffic away from congested corridors.
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Softening oilseed-cake demand in the EU and seasonal grain hand-to-mouth buying weigh on rate levels.
Outlook
With the Black Sea corridor operating smoothly, traders will likely continue shifting bulk oilseed and grain away from road into maritime shipments, keeping pressure on regional road-freight rates through July.
