Ukraine has significant potential to increase biomethane production and export renewable gas to the European Union, according to an analytical study by Poland’s Bank Gospodarstwa Krajowego. Poland could become a key transit corridor and logistics hub for this market.
Experts estimate that by 2030 Ukraine could raise biomethane exports to about one billion cubic meters per year. In the longer term, under favorable investment and regulatory conditions, production capacity could grow to 9.7-21.8 billion cubic meters annually.
Agriculture becomes an energy supplier
The main advantage is the agricultural base. Manure, crop residues and other biomass can be converted into energy instead of remaining a waste management problem. This creates additional income for farms, jobs in rural areas and demand for processing and logistics infrastructure.
Poland is naturally positioned to support this trade because of geography, transport links and energy infrastructure. It can serve not only as a transit route, but also as an active market participant that buys, stores and resells part of the volumes to other EU markets.
For Ukraine, biomethane exports combine several goals at once: lower greenhouse gas emissions, better management of agricultural waste, additional foreign currency revenues and closer energy integration with Europe. The sector will depend on clear regulation, reliable certification and cooperation between producers, investors and logistics operators.
