1. Headline Numbers
| Metric | Jan-Jun 2025 | YoY Trend* |
|---|---|---|
| Total trade turnover | $58.3 B | ↑ 8 % |
| Imports | $38.3 B | ↑ 10 % |
| Exports | $20.0 B | ↓ 2 % |
| Import–export ratio | 1 : 3 | — |
*Estimated relative to Jan-Jun 2024
2. Import Breakdown
Top Source Countries
| Rank | Country | Value ($ B) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | China | 8.2 |
| 2 | Poland | 3.5 |
| 3 | Germany | 3.2 |
Leading Import Categories
| Category | Value ($ B) | Share of Customs Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Machinery, equipment & vehicles | 14.8 | 29 % |
| Chemicals | 6.2 | 15 % |
| Fuel & energy products | 4.9 | 27 % |
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Taxable imports: $28.9 B (76 % of total)
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Average duty per kg: $0.52
3. Export Breakdown
Top Destination Countries
| Rank | Country | Value ($ B) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poland | 2.4 |
| 2 | Turkey | 1.7 |
| 3 | Italy | 1.2 |
Leading Export Categories
| Category | Value ($ B) |
|---|---|
| Food & agri products | 11.2 |
| Metals & metal products | 2.3 |
| Machinery & transport equipment | 1.9 |
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Export customs duties collected: ₴137.6 M
4. Key Insights & Implications
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Persistent Trade Gap
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Imports exceed exports by $18.3 B, underscoring Ukraine’s heavy reliance on foreign machinery, energy, and consumer goods.
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China’s Dominance Continues
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At $8.2 B, Chinese imports account for 21 % of total inbound goods—largely electronics, machinery, and consumer products.
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Machinery Drives Customs Revenue
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Nearly one-third of customs income originates from machinery, equipment, and vehicles, reflecting high unit values and tariff levels.
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Agricultural Exports Cushion Deficit
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Despite war-time logistics challenges, food commodities still contribute over half of export earnings.
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Policy Watch
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Government may tighten import substitution measures or offer export incentives to rebalance the ledger, especially in high-value manufacturing.
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