Key Numbers (Jan-Jun 2025)
| Metric | 2025 | Δ vs 2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Agri-export revenue | $11.3 bn | −9 % |
| Share in total exports | 57 % | — |
| EU market share | 48 % ($5.39 bn) | −14 % |
| Asia market share | 31 % ($3.51 bn) | −10 % |
| Africa market share | 13 % ($1.47 bn) | ≈ |
(figures: State Customs Service + NSC “Institute of Agrarian Economics”)
Top Commodity Lines
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Cereals – $4.0 bn
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Vegetable oils & fats – $3.16 bn
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Oilseeds – $0.99 bn
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Milling by-products & feed – $0.74 bn
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Meat & offal – $0.58 bn
These five categories generate >80 % of overall agri turnover.
Market Pulse
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EU remains anchor buyer but trims orders amid logistics bottlenecks and soft prices.
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Asia sustains demand for sunflower oil and corn yet shows price sensitivity.
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Africa keeps intake steady, primarily maize and wheat via Black-Sea “solidarity lanes.”
Outlook H2-2025
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Harvest mix: early weather signals point to stable output; corn acreage slightly down, oilseed area up.
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Freight premiums: ongoing naval risk keeps transport costs elevated, shaving FOB margins.
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Policy watch: Kyiv expanding irrigation finance and port-fee euroisation to stay competitive.
A moderate rebound in export value hinges on commodity prices and uninterrupted corridor access.
